Months and months of 200 views on each video until I finally figured out what the algorithm actually rewards
Two years in and I was suffering from inconsistency, but not the hooks, editing, or upload schedule. Those I had mostly mastered at this point after two years of grinding. Instead, it was too many videos just dying on the 200-300 view plateau before I could even figure out what was failing. Occasional bangers were carrying my whole channel but the hit rate was not there.
What I had trouble seeing for the longest time was that the foundation of my entire content strategy was built on. While it seemed correct, I had iterated hundreds of times; however, I was optimizing based on the basic analytics available. Those numbers show the outcome of your video, after it already died or survived. You don't get the ability to know why someone left your video until after you've already lost the opportunity to learn about it.
I had to start looking at what specifically happened in the first 10 seconds of my video, by comparing frame-by-frame retention graphs. On videos that succeeded over those that failed, there's a specific period, typically between seconds 5 and 7 where the algorithm's decision comes in. If your watch time is above 70% through that period, you get re-watches at above 25% on your videos and a tendency of someone looking more in depth than just being captured by your hook for two seconds. Videos that hit those numbers almost always perform in real distribution.
My key change is that I stopped "guessing" why videos were failing and actually know the exact point that someone left. It wasn't that they left at 40% watch time, it was that they left at second 6 because my video froze for 1.8 seconds. This new information changed how I think about literally every single video.
My hit rate is starting to improve in a way I can see it month over month. It's not instant but I am more accurate about how I make decisions going into a video and there is noticeably less time wasted doing work on something that is probably going to fail. Over the long run it definitely starts to compound fast.
If you've been making videos for two years, know how to edit them, and still find that your results aren't where they should be with your experience, you are almost definitely an information problem. Most of the analytics tools use by creators, only provide the outcome rather than the moment at which the outcome occurs.
EDIT: the tool I was using to make this graph was this app if anyone was wondering