I checked 8 "viral" video formats before starting a new account. None passed the second test
Last month I wanted to start a short video account where every video is rendered from code. No face, no camera. Before making anything I wrote down a pass rule: in the last 90 days, one platform needs 10+ videos over 1M views, from 5+ different accounts, and at least 2 of those accounts under 100k followers.
Physics ball simulations passed easily: 88 videos over 1M on TikTok, from 43 accounts. Math animations passed too.
Then I added a second test, and it changed everything: what does a random small account in that format get on a normal day?
- Ball sims: a few hundred to about 11k views per video. Followers came out to roughly 640 per million views, so even the hits barely grew the account.
- Data race charts: 34 of the 47 videos over 1M came from reupload or impersonator accounts.
- Turning math curves into sound: 10 small accounts started around the same time, none had a single video reach 10k.
I ran the same two tests on 8 formats in total. None of them passed the second one.
I still posted a test batch anyway: 7 loop videos, each landed between 320 and 504 views. The one number that tracked views best was how many people were still watching at second 10.
What I took from it: counting hit videos measures how much traffic a format has in total. Whether you can get any of it depends on who got in early and who already has distribution. When making the video gets cheaper, more people pile in, and the views go to whoever already has reach.
If you've copied a format for your own account, what did you check besides the hit videos?